By Bob Tannenhauser
NYPD citywide crime statistics released this week show a decrease in five of the seven major crime categories in 2023 through October 1st, compared to the same period in 2022. Murder and rape incidents declined by 10.9% and 11.2%, respectively, with robbery, burglary, and grand larceny also decreasing. According to the data available on the NYPD crime stats site, felony assaults and grand larceny auto incidents increased 5.9% and 19%, respectively. The chart below shows the data for the year through October 1, 2023. In addition to the seven major crime categories, we have included data for petit larceny and misdemeanor assaults.
|Citywide||YTD 10/1/23||YTD 10/1/22||% Decrease/Increase|
|Grand Larceny Auto||12,006||10,085||19.0%|
We also examined the data for the same period for the Upper West Side precincts 20, 24, and Central Park, to see if there were notable differences from the citywide trends. The year-to-date (October 1st) statistics for the 20th, 24th, and Central Park precincts, comprising the Upper West Side, have been consolidated and are presented below. Five of the seven major crimes again show decreases in incidents. Notably, though, there have been six murders on the Upper West Side, compared to two last year, reflecting the murder/suicide we reported in the WSR on August 28, 2023. Incidents of rape, robbery, burglary, felony assaults, and grand larceny declined, while grand larceny auto increased. As with the citywide chart, we have included in the Upper West Side precinct chart below the data for petit larceny and misdemeanor assaults. Only the Central Park Precinct reported an increase in both of those categories, with petit larceny incidents increasing to 32 from 24 last year, and misdemeanor assault incidents rising to 41 from 26 in 2022.
|YTD 10/1/23||YTD 10/1/22||% Decrease/Increase|
We have found that the data does not necessarily correlate with the public’s perception of whether crime is increasing or decreasing, as we reported in September, 2022, Crime on the Upper West Side Over the Decades, and in October, 2022, NYC and Upper West Side Crime in the 21st Century. Declining crime statistics are not necessarily reflected in people’s perception of safety, as pointed out in a recent New York Times article. Another Times article suggests that the fear of crime may make public safety worse.
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