By Bob Tannenhauser
The NYPD released the citywide crime statistics for the month of June 2022 with a comparison to June 2021.
The charts below present the data for the city as a whole and the reported crime incidents for the 20th and 24th precincts, which serve the Upper West Side, for the 28-day period ending July 3rd versus the same period last year. It shows that, while the city has seen a drop in murders, the overall number of crime incidents has risen.
The 20th and 24th precincts have also experienced an increase in crime incidents.
On a brighter note, “For the month of June 2022, the number of overall shooting incidents again declined in New York City compared with June 2021, continuing the downward trend in gun violence in the first half of the calendar year,” the NYPD announced in a press release. You can read the full release here.
NEW YORK CITY
| CRIME | INCIDENTS | PERCENT CHANGE |
| Murder | 26 | -31.6% |
| Rape | 140 | +2.9% |
| Robbery | 1,548 | +36.1% |
| Felony Assault | 2,471 | +17.3% |
| Burglary | 1,279 | +33.8% |
| Grand Larceny | 4,467 | +41% |
| Grand Larceny Auto | 1,142 | +25.9% |
| TOTAL | 11,703 | +31.1% |
20th PRECINCT
| Murder | 0 | 0% |
| Rape | 0 | 0% |
| Robbery | 9 | +200% |
| Felony Assault | 15 | +200% |
| Burglary | 18 | +157.1% |
| Grand Larceny | 83 | +53.7% |
| Grand Larceny Auto | 7 | -41.7% |
| TOTAL | 132 | +62.96% |
24TH PRECINCT
| Murder | 0 | -100% |
| Rape | 1 | -50% |
| Robbery | 17 | +88.9% |
| Felony Assault | 18 | +63.2% |
| Burglary | 7 | -22.2% |
| Grand Larceny | 37 | +27.6% |
| Grand Larceny Auto | 11 | +39% |
| TOTAL | 91 | +35.82% |
Crime is way up from the first half of 2021 but crime in the first half of 2021 was actually quite low. The 8,000 crimes in June 2021, annualized, indeed the first half of 2021, annualized, would have made 2021 one of the safest years in our modern era
The spike came in the second half of 2021 and has held since.
The current crime rate is actually well below where it was when Bloomberg succeeded Giuliani in 2001.
At current rate we’re on track for a number similar to the years 2004 – 2006. We felt safe then.
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/nypd/downloads/pdf/crime_statistics/cs-en-us-city.pdf
Two statements can in fact be true. Crime rates are lower than they were 20 years ago AND crime rates have steadily been on the rise over the past few years. Given the rise in social media and apps like Citizen, we are made more aware of criminal activity in our neighborhoods in real time. Who am I to question if people should or shouldn’t feel safe based on crime statistics from 10-20 years ago?
Again, the data shows that crime was steady (about 95,000 major crimes/year or 8,000/month) for four and one half years from 2017 straight through June 2021. Pretty amazing considering the perceived incompetence of the City’s leadership then, correct?
So in fact it’s a one year spike, and yes, it’s bad and needs to be curbed as quickly as possible. But this “feeling” that it’s been up “over the past few years?” It is caused by something: Enhanced coverage and apps that amplify each incident? Out of context reporting? The biases of some of us towards the city’s leadership?
We’ll all be better off if we rely on data and context.
Historical data here:
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/nypd/downloads/pdf/analysis_and_planning/historical-crime-data/seven-major-felony-offenses-2000-2021.pdf
We need many more cops and cameras on the UWS. Also must get rid of bail reform.
There are enough cops. They need to do their job!
Most do their jobs and if you get to know them, you will realize how much they care and make every effort. They can only do what is allowed by law and when they can make a lawful arrest, within hours, the criminals are back on the street unless it’s an extremely violent circumstance. We need better LAWS and a DA’s office that ENFORCES the laws. How Manhattan voted for this DA is beyond me. What’s happening now is exactly what he said he would do…there should be no surprise crime is up so don’t blame the police.
It would be nice if unlicensed mopeds would stop trying to run us down as they blow through all the lights on CPW. Is there even a police commissioner working?
I think we all know that these statistics are questionable to say the least. Lots of crime incidents are not reported and are even discouraged to being reported; lots of felonies are reduced to misdemeanors.
We just don’t have a solid benchmark to base the current statistics on, but we can surely go by our own experiences .
In my experience crime in UWS is very high and not getting lower.
“The stats have been questionable” is something that’s been said for over 30 years. The metrics aren’t changing, nor are the behaviors of victims. People whose cars were broken into 30 years ago were no more or less likely to report then than now.
In terms of comparing what rates are “high” or “low?” The data is a constant and remains valid.
And as noted before, you can’t juke a murder stat. Or, for that matter a shooting, a stabbing, or an armed robbery.
You can’t juke a murder stat. This whole “oh well the statistics don’t mean what they mean” approach is hilarious considering the past two years have been a nonstop litany of caterwauling over double-digit percentage increases over a crime rate that, in 2019, was as low as it has been in almost 80 years.
It’s a city of 9 million people. And still remarkably safe, even more so than under Bloomberg or Giuliani. Accept that you’re wrong
BS stats, the city is unsafe with out of control craziness and disregard for the most basic laws.
A friend was at a Starbucks in midtown early in the morning. A homeless guy (I say homeless, yes, not “unhoused” or “unsheltered”, as though the passive voice tells us the taxpayers must pay this guy’s expenses) comes in and sweeps big bags of coffee beans into a bag. The sole employee just tells the guy, You won’t be able to sell these. But she made no attempt to respond to the theft. I am guessing corporate has just said, let it go, and NYPD can only give the homeless guy a summons.
We need to arrest turnstile jumpers, squeegee guys, shoplifters, and prosecute them. Hand waving at crime will not do.
Or maybe I should move to Huntsville AL.
“The sole employee just tells the guy, You won’t be able to sell these. ”
That employee is quite misinformed.
There is a vast market for everything that is being stolen, shoplifted or whatever from all sorts of retail today. This includes clothing stores, Duane Reade type stores, supermarkets on down…
You can walk around any part of city and see homeless, drug addicts and others with blankets spread on sidewalk selling things they’ve stolen from DR, Target, and other places. That or they are working subways, buses, and other areas pulling stuff out of bags, backpacks, etc.. Union Square, East Village, Lower East Side and some other areas look like open air bazaars for all the stolen merchandise being fenced out in open.
None of this touches the more professional fences who pay homeless, drug addicts and others pennies for stolen property, then proceed to sell things online. Where do you think pages and pages of Tide and other laundry detergent, Starbucks coffee, toiletries, and more listed on eBay, FB market place, CL, and other online come from?
https://nypost.com/2022/07/10/shoplifters-hit-supermarkets-with-increasingly-brazen-heists/
Hi. I used to live in Huntsville Alabama. The town is essentially segregated. Also, every level of local government is racist. Like openly racist- it’s part of their platform. Anniston, AL is just down the highway. Fun fact, the towns around it are literal sundown towns.
Going by your comment- which shows a propensity for dehumanizing judgement- I actually feel you would be fine there.
This comment was about crime, shoplifting , turnstile jumping. These are crimes and the people who commit them should be prosecuted. Your comment makes no sense. How is this comment racist?
It’s not a crime to be homeless. The same way it’s not a crime to be virulently bigoted against them, like so many folks apparently are.
Have some compassion. One day you might end up in their shoes
No but when homeless shoplift items to sell to bodegas for money to buy heroin there is a problem. It needs to be addressed. When mentally ill homeless assault people because the voices in their head told them to it needs to be addressed. Go talk to Michelle Go,s friends.
Most people have compassion for the homeless. It is not the point. The actual point is that mentally ill are not getting any help and endangering themselves and everyone around them.
The city and our district do not offer any meaningful solutions thus further endangering their constituents and doing disservice to the mentally ill.
The person above did not say “we need to arrest homeless people.” Read it again. Can you agree it’s a crime to shoplift and, as such, punishment is deserved?
Broken windows works. It creates a feeling of lawful streets where offenses are prosecuted. We clearly don’t have that now
I caught a guy mid-mugging as he was trying to get into my purse last weekend. I was walking to the laundromat at 110th and Columbus and I whipped around when I felt a tug and he proclaimed he was only trying to tell me it was another guy on the street…..
I was like MMMM HHHMMMM. Wish I would’ve paid more attention to what he was wearing bc then I could’ve called the cops.
Thankfully I caught him before he could grab anything out. Purse was zipped with flap over it but after tug it was unzipped. I normally don’t walk with purse or one that hangs on my back but I was carrying large bag into laundromat that day. I was VERY LUCKY.
And this, of course, went unreported.
Uh. Who left it unreported? It happened to you.
The UWS and Manhattan Valley are suffering a scourge of crime and homelessness. The city really needs to take aggressive police action and saturate the neighborhood with uniformed and undercover police on foot, horse , scooter not just SUVs.
What does aggressive police action against unhoused people look like?
Immediately isn’t soon enough
This is David Dinkins 2.0 which is terrifying after DeBlasio already brought the city to its knees. A lot of people are saying this is like the 80s, no it’s actually worse than the 80s, and the NYPD are doing nothing. We need a tough district attorney and it’s off Mayor. Bloomberg left the city in great shape, and these two clowns have erased all the gains.
I’m sure you’re not interested in knowing that Dinkins brought BOTH Bill Bratton and Ray Kelly to NYC, increased the police force, and left with crime about 20% Below where it was when Koch left and he took over. To be specific, there were 527,257major crimes the year Dinkins took over, and 430,460 in his final year, with 15% fewer murders.
Similarly, I’m sure you’re not interested in the fact that our lowest years for crime were the four and one half years from Jan 2017 through the first half of 2021. Under De Blasio (a failure for other reasons).
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/nypd/downloads/pdf/analysis_and_planning/historical-crime-data/seven-major-felony-offenses-2000-2021.pdf
It’s amazing how the people who thought that Bratton and Kelly were geniuses under Giuliani and Bloomberg must think they were inept under Dinkins and De Blasio.
As I said earlier, the “feelings” routinely trump the facts and those are often the result of seeing things through a politicized lens. It’s why, for example, MAGAts think that job creation under trump (6.5 million in 3 years) was better than under Obama (8 million in the 3 preceding years), and that trump lowered the deficit (he didn’t) while Obama raise it (he halved it).
Thank you for illustrating this so well.
Are numbers available on the number of crimes committed by repeat offenders – those arrested for similar crimes and released on no bail, with a promise to return to court?